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David Piepgrass's avatar

> I personally think cable news is still probably the most important platform for media right now. [...] there’s a horror movie called The Human Centipede. And cable news is the front person in that centipede. All of the stuff that gets talked about there makes its way down to the podcast people, which makes its way down and eventually winds up in the “for you” page of everybody’s social media feed.

> If he was in a more competitive area...every single Republican would be playing “oh, well, while Mamdani is fixing the pothole, they’re putting holes in your trans children"

Destiny is killing it here!

> I don’t think it’s about the message, because I see things that Donald Trump will say or do … what is the genius messaging in mixing up Japan’s government with the Islamic Republic of Japan or whatever he said? It’s not genius messaging. It’s just an entire Republican media establishment that’s willing to co-sign anything he says, and he inherits all the infrastructure and then works through there.

Right, so few people understand this. Traditional Republicans who have worked with him know he's an idiot. So why did he win anyway? My theory:

First, because in 2015-16 he exploited the differences between high-brow and low-brow Republicans. The other candidates were saying high-brow Republican things; Trump swoops in and repeats whatever low-brow Republican influencers are saying, sometimes garbled but with the Right Vibes. He won the nomination by being, in some sense, the average Republican voter.

Second, the Republican machine is completely reliable. JD Vance said privately in 2016 that "I go back and forth between thinking Trump is a cynical a**hole like Nixon who wouldn't be that bad (and might even prove useful) or that he's America's Hitler." Is he now Trump's biggest fan like he pretends? I don't think so. But Republicans instinctually stand behind the leader. He tells a thousand lies a month? No, a thousand TRUTHS a month! Can't think of a single verse or book from the Bible? He's doing God's work! Making billions of dollars as president? He's just a savvy businessman! Violating the law and constitution in hundreds of unique ways? You'll never be on Fair And Balanced News again, radical left lunatic!

Are they sacrificing their integrity for the sake of loyalty? Maybe they think loyalty IS integrity.

> I grew up a hardcore Republican

Oh, I would love to hear more about the culture and how beliefs work in that zone!

> And you don’t ever actually get to have any good conversations about [how to solve problems]

1. Legalize more housing construction including mid-rises (follow the YIMBYs); cut red tape

2. Corporate profits are at record highs and AI tech will push profit margins even higher. Raise taxes on corporations and work with other countries on ways to impose minimum tax rates / neutralize tax shelters. Lower taxes on humans to make them more competitive vs AI (or rather, less uncompetitive).

3. Don't just ask for campaign finance reform + electoral reform (semi-proportional representation, approval voting for president, NPV compact): work on building momentum

4. Crime problems? More prosperous people tend to do less crime, so raise the floor.

5. Health care? To reduce industry pushback, change the system gradually by lowering the eligibility age for Medicare by 5 years per year until everybody is eligible. When the Republicans block the one-page bill about this policy, make a deal with them for 1 or 2 years per year instead.

> people who are center-left should be a little bit less afraid of coming off as partisan and being a little bit more concerned with being factually accurate

Damn straight, especially that second part. Be a partisan of facts and reason. Prove yourself wrong before anyone else (because almost no one will bother correcting you, and even when they do it'll probably be in the most obnoxious way possible!) Argue fiercely but care more than anyone about the truth, not about truthiness or "your truth".

Doingmybest's avatar

It's a good question. What's the measure of illiberalism?

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